An Extension of Interval Probabilities using Modal Interval Theory and its Application to Non-life Insurance

In this paper we apply the modal interval theory to the actuarial field to study the analysis and control of solvency in non-life insurance portfolios. The advantages of modal intervals over classical intervals are the interpretative field and the extension of the calculation possibilities that moda...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Adillón, Román, Jorba, Lambert, Mármol, Maite
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/220965
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/220965
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Probabilitats
Anàlisi d'intervals (Matemàtica)
Matemàtica actuarial
Assegurances
Probabilities
Interval analysis (Mathematics)
Actuarial mathematics
Insurance
Descripción
Sumario:In this paper we apply the modal interval theory to the actuarial field to study the analysis and control of solvency in non-life insurance portfolios. The advantages of modal intervals over classical intervals are the interpretative field and the extension of the calculation possibilities that modal intervals offer. To achieve this, we will analyse and propose some properties of modal interval probability that allow us to ensure that the cumulative distribution function and the probability density function of the aggregated cost with which we will work are modal interval functions and, therefore, they can be correctly interpreted from this new point of view.