Graphical model inference with external network data

A frequent challenge when using graphical models in practice is that the sample size is limited relative to the number of parameters. They also become hard to interpret when the number of variables p gets large. We consider applications where one has external data, in the form of networks between va...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Jewson, Jack, Li, Li, Battaglia, Laura, Hansen, Stephen, Rossell Ribera, David, Zwiernik, Piotr
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Recursos:Universitat Pompeu Fabra
Repositorio:Repositorio Digital de la UPF
OAI Identifier:oai:dnet:rdupf_______::8053fcc334463644ecfff27079439751
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/10230/73387
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/biomtc/ujae151
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Bayesian inference
Data integration
Graphical model
Network data
Spike-and-slab
Descrição
Resumo:A frequent challenge when using graphical models in practice is that the sample size is limited relative to the number of parameters. They also become hard to interpret when the number of variables p gets large. We consider applications where one has external data, in the form of networks between variables, that can improve inference and help interpret the fitted model. An example of interest regards the interplay between social media and the co-evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic across USA counties. We develop a spike-and-slab prior framework that depicts how partial correlations depend on the networks, by regressing the edge probabilities, average partial correlations, and their variance on the networks. The goal is to detect when the network data relates to the graphical model and, if so, explain how. We develop computational schemes and software in R and probabilistic programming languages. Our applications show that incorporating network data can improve interpretation, statistical accuracy, and out-of-sample prediction.