Panel Data Cointegration Testing with Structural Instabilities

Spurious regression analysis in panel data when the time series are cross-section dependent is analyzed in the paper. The set-up includes (possibly unknown) multiple structural breaks that can affect both the deterministic and the common factor components. We show that consistent estimation of the l...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Banerjee, Anindya, Carrión i Silvestre, Josep Lluís
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/217806
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/217806
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Anàlisi de regressió
Anàlisi de sèries temporals
Anàlisi de dades de panel
Regression analysis
Time-series analysis
Panel analysis
Descripción
Sumario:Spurious regression analysis in panel data when the time series are cross-section dependent is analyzed in the paper. The set-up includes (possibly unknown) multiple structural breaks that can affect both the deterministic and the common factor components. We show that consistent estimation of the long-run average parameter is possible once cross-section dependence is controlled using cross-section averages in the spirit of Pesaran's common correlated effects approach. This result is used to design individual and panel cointegration test statistics that accommodate the presence of structural breaks that can induce parameter instabilities in the deterministic component, the cointegration vector and the common factor loadings.