Prospective of rural-urban relations in the Andean countries: identification and analysis of key variables

Urban rural relationship have an increasingly important role in territorial dynamics and in the configuration of future scenarios. From territorial approaches, the need for approaches that go beyond reductionist approaches and analyze the multiple interactions that energize these relationships is un...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor: Barragán Ochoa, Fernando
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:Ecuador
Recursos:Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales
Repositorio:Revista EUTOPIA
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec:article/5932
Acesso em linha:https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/eutopia/article/view/5932
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:rural-urban relations
territorial dynamics
future scenarios
Andean countries
territorial prospective
relaciones campo ciudad
prospectiva
prospectiva territorial
futuros
análisis sistémico
relações país-cidade prospectiva, prospectiva territorial, futuros, análise sistêmica
Descrição
Resumo:Urban rural relationship have an increasingly important role in territorial dynamics and in the configuration of future scenarios. From territorial approaches, the need for approaches that go beyond reductionist approaches and analyze the multiple interactions that energize these relationships is underlined. From this perspective, the present investigation, based on participatory exercises with experts, identifies drivers or variables with the potential to influence the future of city-countryside relations, using a matrix of influences and dependencies. This research makes it possible to identify the role of fifty variables that affect country-city relationships and their categorization, based on the dependence and influence capacity of each variable compared to the other variables in this system. Likewise, a systemic analysis makes it possible to identify subnetworks or modularities in which the variables have a greater intensity of interactions. These knowledge inputs are the basis for the construction of prospective exercises with a larger scale of analysis, where analysis of actors that influence and mobilize the operation of the system can also be included, as a knowledge input for the construction of territorial planning processes.