Uncertainty of dimensional analysis of intelligence

Due to the particular characteristics of the world in which we find ourselves, intelligence analysis becomes especially important. This paper discusses how the human mind works in intelligence analysis, focusing on uncertainty, trial ratings, judgments under pressure and time constraints, analyzing...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Payá Santos, Claudio Augusto, Delgado Morán, Juan José
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:Ecuador
Institución:Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales
Repositorio:Revista URVIO
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec:article/2962
Acceso en línea:https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/2962
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:incertidumbre y razonamiento
inteligencia militar
inteligencia
incertidumbre y razonamiento. Seguridad Multidimensional.
sesgos cognitivos
seguridad
Descripción
Sumario:Due to the particular characteristics of the world in which we find ourselves, intelligence analysis becomes especially important. This paper discusses how the human mind works in intelligence analysis, focusing on uncertainty, trial ratings, judgments under pressure and time constraints, analyzing how the structure of our mental machinery influences and constrict intelligence analysis. We will deal with the functioning of the human mind, and what limitations it finds by focusing on how these cognitive characteristics affect intelligence analysts when they are not based on biased facts; as well as the impact of time and pressure on the accuracy of results.