Trade partners inflation as a benchmark for setting the inflation target in Costa Rica

In this working paper we present a measure of trade partner’s inflation which can serve as a benchmark for setting the long term inflation target by the authorities of the Central Bank of Costa Rica. This metric is constructed by weighting the Consumer Price Indexes of the main trading partners base...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Álvarez Corrales, Cristian, León Murillo, Jorge
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2013
País:Costa Rica
Recursos:Universidad Nacional de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Portal de Revistas UNA
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:www.revistas.una.ac.cr:article/5587
Acesso em linha:https://www.revistas.una.ac.cr/index.php/economia/article/view/5587
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:inflation
trade partners
structural break
tradable good
inflación
socios comerciales
quiebre estructural
bien transable
Descrição
Resumo:In this working paper we present a measure of trade partner’s inflation which can serve as a benchmark for setting the long term inflation target by the authorities of the Central Bank of Costa Rica. This metric is constructed by weighting the Consumer Price Indexes of the main trading partners based on the relative importance of each partner in total trade with Costa Rica. Since the success of the Inflation Targeting monetary regimen depends crucially on the ability of the Central Bank to anchor inflation expectations to the long term inflation target, we consider that a target of 3%, which is equal to the average of the inflation rate for the trading partner´s between years 2000 and 2012, will allow the BCCR to fulfill its goals of low and stable inflation rate.