Methodology for determining the mean and extreme sea level regimes (astronomical and meteorological tides) considering scarce records in microtidal zones: colombian Caribbean case

Synthetic sea level (SL) records of the Cartagena Bay and the Urabá Gulf, from 1991 to 2010, were obtained through this methodology. Simulated series were adjusted against different probability functions (e.g. Log-Normal, Normal, Weibull, Gumbel). Normal and Gumbel distributions provided the best fi...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Orejarena-Rondón, Andrés Fernando, Otero-Díaz, Luis Jesús, Restrepo L., Juan Camilo, Ramos De la Hoz, Isabel María, Marriaga-Rocha, Leonardo
Format: article
Status:Published version
Publication Date:2018
Country:Colombia
Institution:Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repository:Repositorio UN
Language:Spanish
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/68533
Online Access:https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/68533
http://bdigital.unal.edu.co/69566/
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:62 Ingeniería y operaciones afines / Engineering
sea level
astronomical tide
meteorological tide
mean regime
extreme regime
Nivel del mar
marea astronómica
marea meteorológica
régimen medio
régimen extremo
Description
Summary:Synthetic sea level (SL) records of the Cartagena Bay and the Urabá Gulf, from 1991 to 2010, were obtained through this methodology. Simulated series were adjusted against different probability functions (e.g. Log-Normal, Normal, Weibull, Gumbel). Normal and Gumbel distributions provided the best fit for mean and extreme regimes, respectively. Within the Cartagena Bay, there were no significant differences in the mean regime; whereas for the Urabá Gulf its magnitude increased as much as twice southward. Moreover, the extreme regime exhibited the largest values in the southern sector of the Urabá Gulf. This methodology might be implemented in areas where sea level records are scarce or poorly reliable. Thus, it may valuable for planning and building port and coastal infrastructure, as well as for implementing risk reduction measures.