Energy power forward prices. Are forward prices rationally determined by agents in the Colombian market?

This article considers fixed-terms transactions made by agents, in diverse segments of the Colombian energy power market, using forward contracts in order to secure buying/selling prices. The random behavior of prices and quantities, which is handled in the energy power flux, implies the sacrifice o...

ver descrição completa

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Gloria Stella Salazar Marín, Javier Pantoja
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:Colombia
Recursos:Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/14000
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10784/14000
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Forward Contracts
Risk Premium
Regulated Market
Non-regulated Market.
Contratos forward
prima de riesgos
mercado regulado
mercado no regulado.
Descrição
Resumo:This article considers fixed-terms transactions made by agents, in diverse segments of the Colombian energy power market, using forward contracts in order to secure buying/selling prices. The random behavior of prices and quantities, which is handled in the energy power flux, implies the sacrifice of agents according to the transaction segment (regulated, non-regulated or intermediary). In addition to this, the premium, which is paid in the commercial exchange with forwards, is defined by the agents’ expectations and is a reflection of their risk aversion level. This involves financial rationality in the establishment of the premium in order to secure a price on uncertain energy power quantity in the future. Thus, the measurement of such expectation becomes useful, as it is defined by the type of market in which the transaction is being made.