Inflación y crecimiento económico: determinantes del desempleo en Colombia

This work aims to establish if the unemployment rate in Colombia is determined by expected inflation and the rate of economic growth, between 2001 and 2009, assuming that economic agents have adaptive expectations, in order to determine if there is a contradistinction on the economical policy object...

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Bibliographic Details
Author: Chávez-Muñoz, Nelson Manolo
Format: article
Status:Published version
Publication Date:2010
Country:Colombia
Institution:Universidad Católica de Colombia
Repository:RIUCaC - Repositorio U. Católica
Language:Spanish
OAI Identifier:oai:repository.ucatolica.edu.co:10983/623
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10983/623
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Inflación
Crecimiento económico
Tasa de desempleo
Expectativas adaptativas
Banco central
Política económica
Inflation
Economic growth
Unemployment rate
Adaptive expectations
Central bank
Economic policies
Economia Colombiana
Politica monetaria-colombia
Inflacion-Colombia
Desempleo-Colombia
Sistema financiero-Colombia
Description
Summary:This work aims to establish if the unemployment rate in Colombia is determined by expected inflation and the rate of economic growth, between 2001 and 2009, assuming that economic agents have adaptive expectations, in order to determine if there is a contradistinction on the economical policy objectives, towards demonstrating if the Phillips curve is inverse or not. On the other, it analyzes if economic growth causes lower unemployment rates, testing Okun’s Law. It were used time series quarterized, where the main source of the database was Dane information, using the methodology of Johansen cointegration, estimating a vector error correction model and impulse response functions. The results show that the decreasement of unemployment rate is higher when there are increases on inflation expectation, than when there are increases on the economic growth rate