Quantitative estimation of demand for conveyor belt supplies

Demand forecasts provides quantitative data to estimate, with a reasonable degree of certainty, customers’ requirements of a company. Applying this tool in manufacturing companies allows them to generate predictions for decision making. Forecasts have a transverse impact on finances, human resources...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Nuñez-Uribe, Carlos, Olmedo, Alexis, RíoS, John, Coronado-Hernandez, Jairo R., Morillo, Daniel, Gatica, Gustavo, Umaña-Ibáñez, Samir F., Cabrera, Guillermo
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:Colombia
Institución:Corporación Universidad de la Costa
Repositorio:Repositorio REDICUC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.cuc.edu.co:11323/10895
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/11323/10895
https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Forecast
Demand
Time series
Exponential smoothing
Correlation
Covariance
Descripción
Sumario:Demand forecasts provides quantitative data to estimate, with a reasonable degree of certainty, customers’ requirements of a company. Applying this tool in manufacturing companies allows them to generate predictions for decision making. Forecasts have a transverse impact on finances, human resources, inventories, and production, among others. In Chile, qualitative models are used to make these estimates based on information from the sales force, customers, or group of experts. This article incorporates three exponential smoothing models into these estimates. Data is available from a manufacturing company (2016 to 2019); it is used to make comparisons and adjustments to select, the best model for each product. Also, a correlation and covariance analysis is carried out between the inputs, to determine the degree of relationship between the products and thus project their demand.