Analysis of investment in feedlot cattle in the central-western Brazil: A case study

This study analyzed the economic viability of an investment in feedlot cattle on a farm in the midsize state of Goiás. The research identified that different thematic studies whose interests have focused mainly on cost analysis and profitability punctual. Differently, this study used the approaches...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Santos, David Ferreira Lopes [UNESP], Jurca, Fernanda Lemos [UNESP]
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2013
País:Brasil
Institución:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
Repositorio:Repositório Institucional da UNESP
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/232235
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/11449/232235
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Discounted cash flow
Feedlot cattle
Real options theory
Descripción
Sumario:This study analyzed the economic viability of an investment in feedlot cattle on a farm in the midsize state of Goiás. The research identified that different thematic studies whose interests have focused mainly on cost analysis and profitability punctual. Differently, this study used the approaches of the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and the Real Options Theory (ROT). The first used the projected cash flow for 10 years and a discount rate determined by CAPM at 8% p.a. for containment of heads 400. The second was modeled by the binomial model of Cox, Ross and Rubinstein (1979) incorporating the option of waiting. This methodology has not been employed in Brazilian cattle industry. The search results pointed to the economic viability of the project when considered possible scenarios for the different price ranges of the ox that state bushel. In addition, the TOR proved to be a more robust tool for investment analysis, by incorporating the flexibility of farmers to wait for the right time to make the confinement.