Food security and conflicts: a statistical approach.

History tells us that the lack of food - or only the fear of its loss - plays a central role in the occurrence of human conflicts. Despite this, food is one of the biggest and least recognized drivers of global security. Now, at the beginning of the 21st century, humanity is faced - again - with the...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: PEREZ, D. V., SALDANHA, M. H. J.
Format: article
Status:Published version
Publication Date:2021
Country:Brasil
Institution:Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Embrapa)
Repository:Repositório Institucional da EMBRAPA (Repository Open Access to Scientific Information from EMBRAPA - Alice)
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br:doc/1138790
Online Access:http://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1138790
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Instabilidade
Terrorismo
Instability
Fome
Segurança Alimentar
Hunger
Food security
Terrorism
Description
Summary:History tells us that the lack of food - or only the fear of its loss - plays a central role in the occurrence of human conflicts. Despite this, food is one of the biggest and least recognized drivers of global security. Now, at the beginning of the 21st century, humanity is faced - again - with the challenge of how to feed a growing urban population. Most of the literature on the subject focuses on qualitative links between variation in food availability/affordability and violence, but is limited to countries in conflict. Thus, the objective of the present work was to use a statistical approach in an attempt to find some pattern or mathematical relationship between a selected number of variables that capture the social, environmental and economic factors that make the occurrence of conflicts and violence more likely. Analysis of the data suggests that conflicts can be better explained by considering the interactions between terrorism, food security, and people's income.