Modelagens estatística para dados de sobrevivência bivariados : uma abordagem bayesiana

The frailty models are used to model the possible associations between survival times. Another alternative developed for modeling the dependence between multivariate data is the use of models based on copulas functions. In this paper we propose two derived survival models of copula of the Ali-Mikhai...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Ribeiro, Taís Roberta
Tipo de recurso: tesis de maestría
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:Brasil
Institución:Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR)
Repositorio:Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR
Idioma:portugués
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.ufscar.br:20.500.14289/9015
Acceso en línea:https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/20.500.14289/9015
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Análise de sobrevivência
Dados de sobrevivência bivariados
Funções cópulas
Fração de cura
Survival analysis
Bivariate survival data
Copula functions
Cure fraction
CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA
Descripción
Sumario:The frailty models are used to model the possible associations between survival times. Another alternative developed for modeling the dependence between multivariate data is the use of models based on copulas functions. In this paper we propose two derived survival models of copula of the Ali-Mikhail-Haq (AMH) and of the Frank to model the dependence of bivariate data in the presence of covariates and censored observations. For inferential purposes, we conducted a Bayesian approach using Monte Carlo methods in Markov Chain (MCMC). Some discussions on the model selection criteria were presented. In order to detect influential observations we use the Bayesian method of cases of deletion of influence analysis based on the difference ^. Finally, we show the applicability of the proposed models to sets of simulated and real data. We present, too, a new survival model with bivariate fraction of healing, which takes into account three settings for the latent activation mechanism: random activation, first activation and final activation. We apply this model to a set of Direct Credit loan data to the Consumer mode (DCC) and compare the settings, through Bayesian criteria for selection of models, which of the three models best fit. Finally, we show our future proposal for further research.