Grade uncertainty embedded in long term scheduling : stochastic mine planning

The inclusion of grade uncertainty for multivariate mineral deposits is of great importance for the correct management of subsequent decisions involved in mining planning. Mapping grade uncertainties allows maximization of profit and resource extraction. In this article, the co-simulation turning ba...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Cherchenevski, Pablo Koury, Costa, Joao Felipe Coimbra Leite, Rubio, Ricardo Hundelshaussen
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:Brasil
Institución:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
Repositorio:Repositório Institucional da UFRGS
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:www.lume.ufrgs.br:10183/232745
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10183/232745
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Lavra : Planejamento
Geoestatística
Grade uncertainty
Turning bands co-simulation
Mine scheduling
Descripción
Sumario:The inclusion of grade uncertainty for multivariate mineral deposits is of great importance for the correct management of subsequent decisions involved in mining planning. Mapping grade uncertainties allows maximization of profit and resource extraction. In this article, the co-simulation turning band algorithm is applied with the aim of predicting multivariate grade uncertainties. Moreover, a probabilistic analysis in long term mining sequencing is proposed in order to select the best given grade scheduling uncertainty derived from the simulations. A case study in a phosphate mine shows that the correlation of co-simulated variables honors the original data and there is an improvement in the project by an increase in Net Present Value (NPV) planning considering grade uncertainties. A comparison is performed with the results derived from the selected schedule and the results using the model based on kriged grades.