Empirical analysis of the economic impact from ALCA and Mercosul consolidation on Brazil
This paper analyses the impact of the FTAA creation and the deepeningof Mercosul on trade flows, GDP and welfare in Brazil and its Mercosur partnersbased on a computable general equilibrium model from the Global Trade AnalysisProject (GTAP). The first simulation examines the economic effects of the...
| Autores: | , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2010 |
| País: | Brasil |
| Institución: | Universidade Federal do Paraná (UFPR) |
| Repositorio: | Revista de Economia (Curitiba. Online) |
| Idioma: | portugués |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:revistas.ufpr.br:article/22999 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://revistas.ufpr.br/economia/article/view/22999 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Modelos de Equilíbrio Geral; Integração Regional; ALCA; Mercosul General Equilibrium Models; Regional Integration; FTAA; Mercosul |
| Sumario: | This paper analyses the impact of the FTAA creation and the deepeningof Mercosul on trade flows, GDP and welfare in Brazil and its Mercosur partnersbased on a computable general equilibrium model from the Global Trade AnalysisProject (GTAP). The first simulation examines the economic effects of the FTAAformation between 1995 (initial equilibrium) and 2016 (year of consolidation ofthe bloc) supposing the establishment of a Free Trade Area in 2016. The secondsimulation analyses the effects of the establishment of Mercosul’s common externaltariff (CET) in 2006. Brazil benefits from both scenarios with regards to welfare gains, with FTAA formation bringing benefits marginally higher than the deepeningof Mercosul. |
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