An RBC model of the Brazilian economy with stylized fiscal shocks

This paper builds a small size dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with government, aiming to replicate key features of the Brazilian economy. I first calibrate and then I use Bayesian methods to estimate the model for Brazil, with 20 years of quarterly aggregate data. Contrary to th...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Pereira, Rodrigo Mendes
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:Brasil
Institución:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
Repositorio:Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online)
Idioma:portugués
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.periodicos.fgv.br:article/80065
Acceso en línea:https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/80065
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:DSGE model
Fiscal Policy
Bayesian Estimation
Descripción
Sumario:This paper builds a small size dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with government, aiming to replicate key features of the Brazilian economy. I first calibrate and then I use Bayesian methods to estimate the model for Brazil, with 20 years of quarterly aggregate data. Contrary to the conventional knowledge, I find mixed evidence on the pro-cyclicality of the fiscal policy in Brazil. Moreover, the results suggest that tax rate changes have been used to counter changes in the level of government indebtedness, however in a small degree if compared to other international evidence.