An Essay on stochastic discount factor decomposition

In this work, we use the framework developed by Christensen (2017) and Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) to study the long-term interest rates in the US and Brazil. In our first set of results, we assess Christensen (2017) estimator using Monte Carlo simulations in order to evaluate the estimator perform...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Cordeiro, Fernando Luiz Pereira
Tipo de recurso: tesis de maestría
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2018
País:Brasil
Institución:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
Repositorio:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/24212
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10438/24212
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Nonparametric estimation
Stochastic discount factor
Permanent- transitory decomposition
Asset-pricing
Fator de desconto estocástico
Preços de ativos
Economia
Avaliação de ativos - Modelo (CAPM)
Risco (Economia)
Descripción
Sumario:In this work, we use the framework developed by Christensen (2017) and Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) to study the long-term interest rates in the US and Brazil. In our first set of results, we assess Christensen (2017) estimator using Monte Carlo simulations in order to evaluate the estimator performance in the rare disasters and habit formation asset pricing models. Generally, the estimation quality is not uniform and, in some cases, requires a large sample size to attain reasonable results. Next, we apply the nonparametric estimation to US and Brazilian data and estimate how the yield of a long-term zero-coupon bond responds to the initial state of the economy. Using a flexible specification for the state process leads to an interesting non-linear response of the yield to changes in the initial state. We find that the Brazilian long-term interest rate is about 5.3% per year.