Changes in the persistence of Brazilian inflation: an analysis from structural break test

Inflation persistence is associated to the degree to which future inflation values are related to past shocks, or even to the speed of adjustment of its trajectory towards long-run equilibrium. This article aims to measure the persistence of inflation in the post-Real Plan period and verify possible...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Herald da Costa Campos, Rodolfo, Silva, José Alderir da, Geovane Pereira Gomes, Thiago, Ferreira da Silva, Francisco Danilo, dos Santos Torres, Vagner
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:Brasil
Institución:Universidade Federal de Uberlândia (UFU)
Repositorio:Economia Ensaios
Idioma:portugués
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.www.seer.ufu.br:article/65709
Acceso en línea:https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/revistaeconomiaensaios/article/view/65709
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Inflação
Persistência
Testes de Quebra Estrutural
Inflation
Persistence
Structural Break Tests
Descripción
Sumario:Inflation persistence is associated to the degree to which future inflation values are related to past shocks, or even to the speed of adjustment of its trajectory towards long-run equilibrium. This article aims to measure the persistence of inflation in the post-Real Plan period and verify possible instabilities in this parameter. Univariate and structural models are used to measure the persistence of inflation. The results suggest the existence of instabilities in the persistence parameter, with a decrease in this value after the adoption of the inflation targeting system.