A taxa de câmbio do Brasil é válida no longo prazo?

The objective of this study was to test the validity of the real exchange rate in the long run. For that five tests were performed based on equation, which relates to real exchange rate, international trade, domestic income. The main difference is that the tests when we are working with quarterly da...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Alencar, Douglas Alcantara, Strachman, Eduardo [UNESP], Andrade, Fábio Pereira de, Taques, Fernando Henrique
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2013
País:Brasil
Institución:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
Repositorio:Repositório Institucional da UNESP
Idioma:portugués
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/124771
Acceso en línea:http://editorarevistas.mackenzie.br/index.php/rem/article/view/6662
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/124771
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Real exchange rate
Economic growth
Time series
Taxa de câmbio real
Crescimento econômico
Séries temporais
Descripción
Sumario:The objective of this study was to test the validity of the real exchange rate in the long run. For that five tests were performed based on equation, which relates to real exchange rate, international trade, domestic income. The main difference is that the tests when we are working with quarterly data, the parameters are significantly different from zero – i.e., the variables real exchange rate, international trade, domestic income and net exports on long term relationship – and, moreover, the signs are as expected. This implies that it is possible to increase exports with currency devaluation. Thus, based on data and tests that work we conclude that the exchange rate is an important instrument of trade policy, given that devaluations are valid even in the long term.