A compartmental mathematical model for the study of mpox in Brazil
This work presents the study of a SEIR-type epidemiological model to analyze mpox data in Brazil. The model considered is solved by the fourth-order and four-stage Runge-Kutta method and the curves of infected individuals over time are estimated. The model is validated with data from an epidemic out...
| Autores: | , , , , , |
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| Formato: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2025 |
| País: | Brasil |
| Recursos: | Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM) |
| Repositorio: | Revista Ciência e Natura (Online) |
| Idioma: | portugués |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/90628 |
| Acesso em linha: | https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaenatura/article/view/90628 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palavra-chave: | Epidemiological model SEIR Mpox Vaccine Interdisciplinary Modelo epidemiológico Vacina Interdisciplinar |
| Resumo: | This work presents the study of a SEIR-type epidemiological model to analyze mpox data in Brazil. The model considered is solved by the fourth-order and four-stage Runge-Kutta method and the curves of infected individuals over time are estimated. The model is validated with data from an epidemic outbreak that occurred in 1972 in Kosovo. Using data from the mpox virus outbreak in Brazil in 2022, it was found that the model simulation had the same behavior as the outbreak that occurred in Kosovo. |
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