Bayesian Factor Model Shrinkage for Linear IV Regression With Many Instruments

A Bayesian approach for the many instruments problem in linear instrumental variable models is presented. The new approach has two components. First, a slice sampler is developed, which leverages a decomposition of the likelihood function that is a Bayesian analogue to two-stage least squares. The n...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Hahn, P. Richard, He, Jingyu, HEDIBERT FREITAS LOPES
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:Brasil
Institución:Instituição de Ensino Superior e de Pesquisa (INSPER)
Repositorio:Repositório Institucional da INSPER
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.insper.edu.br:11224/4067
Acceso en línea:https://repositorio.insper.edu.br/handle/11224/4067
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Bayesian econometrics
Horseshoe prior
Instrumental variables
Slice sampler
Descripción
Sumario:A Bayesian approach for the many instruments problem in linear instrumental variable models is presented. The new approach has two components. First, a slice sampler is developed, which leverages a decomposition of the likelihood function that is a Bayesian analogue to two-stage least squares. The new sampler permits nonconjugate shrinkage priors to be implemented easily and efficiently. The new computational approach permits a Bayesian analysis of problems that were previously infeasible due to computational demands that scaled poorly in the number of regressors. Second, a new predictor dependent shrinkage prior is developed specifically for the many instruments setting. The prior is constructed based on a factor model decomposition of the matrix of observed instruments, allowing many instruments to be incorporated into the analysis in a robust way. Features of the new method are illustrated via a simulation study and three empirical examples.