Impacto da terapia anti-retroviral na magnitude da epidemia do HIV/AIDS no Brasil: diversos cenários

We applied the back-calculation method to estimate the magnitude of the HIV epidemic in Brazil, using the EM and EMS algorithms. Under certain assumptions regarding the behavior of infected patients towards combined antiretroviral therapy, we discuss five different scenarios applied to the Brazilian...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Barbosa, Maria Tereza S., Struchiner, Claudio J.
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2003
País:Brasil
Recursos:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
Repositorio:Cadernos de Saúde Pública
Idioma:portugués
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.teste-cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br:article/2117
Acesso em linha:https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/2117
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:HIV
Síndrome de Imunodeficiência Adquirida
Vigilância
Terapia Anti-Retroviral de Alta Atividade
Descrição
Resumo:We applied the back-calculation method to estimate the magnitude of the HIV epidemic in Brazil, using the EM and EMS algorithms. Under certain assumptions regarding the behavior of infected patients towards combined antiretroviral therapy, we discuss five different scenarios applied to the Brazilian epidemic. Our objective was to illustrate the impact of combined antiretroviral treatment on the incubation period and thus on estimates of the size of the HIV-infected population, based on reported AIDS cases.