Controlling distant contacts to reduce disease spreading on disordered complex networks

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic. This property, called disorder, is usually associated with...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Pérez, Ignacio Augusto, Trunfio, Paul A., la Rocca, Cristian Ernesto, Braunstein, Lidia Adriana
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:Argentina
Institución:Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
Repositorio:CONICET Digital (CONICET)
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/150506
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/11336/150506
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:COMPLEX NETWORK
EPIDEMIC MODELING
PERCOLATION
SIR MODEL
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.3
https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1
Descripción
Sumario:In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic. This property, called disorder, is usually associated with contact times between individuals and can be modeled by a weighted network, where the weights are related to normalized contact times ω. In this paper, we study the SIR model for disease spreading when both close and distant types of interactions are present. We develop a mitigation strategy that reduces only the time duration of distant contacts, which are easier to alter in practice. Using branching theory, supported by simulations, we found that the effectiveness of the strategy increases when the density f1 of close contacts decreases. Moreover, we found a threshold f̃1=Tc∕β below which the strategy can bring the system from an epidemic to a non-epidemic phase, even when close contacts have the longest time durations.