The fuel consumption increase in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua
This research analyzes short–run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function arima analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due...
| Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | article |
| Status: | Published version |
| Publication Date: | 2012 |
| Country: | México |
| Institution: | UNIVERSIDAD AUTÓNOMA DE BAJA CALIFORNIA |
| Repository: | Estudios Fronterizos |
| Language: | Spanish |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ojs.localhost:article/88 |
| Online Access: | https://ref.uabc.mx/ojs/index.php/ref/article/view/88 |
| Access Level: | Open access |
| Keyword: | Gasoline consumption border economics Economics prices competition Consumption demand Econometrics economic cycles Geography tourism consumo de gasolina economía fronteriza Economía Precios Competencia Consumo Demanda Ciclos económicos Econometría Geografía Turismo |
| Summary: | This research analyzes short–run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function arima analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due to its location on the border with the United States. Explanatory variables that satisfy the significance criterion include the real price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez, the price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez relative to that charged across the border in el Paso, Texas, USA, and formal sector employment in Ciudad Juárez. Out–of–sample simulations indicate that the model is relatively accurate for forecasts of to 1 to 24 months into the future. |
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