Influence of kNN-Based Load Forecasting Errors on Optimal Energy Production

This paper presents a study of the influence of the accuracy of hourly load forecasting on the energy planning and operation of electric generation utilities. First, a k Nearest Neighbours (kNN) classification technique is proposed for hourly load forecasting. Then, obtained prediction errors are co...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Troncoso Lora, Alicia, Riquelme Santos, José Cristóbal, Martínez Ramos, José Luis, Riquelme Santos, Jesús Manuel, Gómez Expósito, Antonio
Tipo de recurso: capítulo de libro
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2003
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Sevilla (US)
Repositorio:idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevilla
OAI Identifier:oai:idus.us.es:11441/39326
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/11441/39326
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-24580-3_26
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Nearest neighbours
load forecasting
optimal energy production
Descripción
Sumario:This paper presents a study of the influence of the accuracy of hourly load forecasting on the energy planning and operation of electric generation utilities. First, a k Nearest Neighbours (kNN) classification technique is proposed for hourly load forecasting. Then, obtained prediction errors are compared with those obtained results by using a M5’. Second, the obtained kNN-based load forecast is used to compute the optimal on/off status and generation scheduling of the units. Finally, the influence of forecasting errors on both the status and generation level of the units over the scheduling period is studied.