On track or not? Projecting the global Multidimensional Poverty Index

This paper proposes a framework for modelling projections of multidimensional poverty. We use recently published repeated observations of multidimensional poverty, based on time-consistent indicators, for 75 countries. We consider and evaluate different approaches to model these countries' traj...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Alkire, Sabina, Nogales, Ricardo, Quinn, Natalie Naïri|||0000-0001-6075-008X, Suppa, Nicolai|||0000-0002-4773-3864
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Institución:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:282903
Acceso en línea:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/282903
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2023.103150
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Multidimensional poverty
Projection
Poverty dynamics
SDG
Descripción
Sumario:This paper proposes a framework for modelling projections of multidimensional poverty. We use recently published repeated observations of multidimensional poverty, based on time-consistent indicators, for 75 countries. We consider and evaluate different approaches to model these countries' trajectories of poverty reduction. Our preferred model respects theoretical bounds, is supported by empirical evidence, and ensures consistency of our main measure with its subindices. In our empirical analysis we first use this approach to assess whether countries are on track to halve poverty incidence between 2015 and 2030 if recent trends