Consumer and business confidence connectedness in the euro area : A tale of two crises

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to examine the propagation of consumer and business confidence in the euro area with a particular focus on the global financial crisis (GFC), the European sovereign debt crisis (ESDC) and theCOVID-19-induced GreatLockdown. Design/methodology/approach: The author...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Fernández Pérez, Adrian, Gómez-Puig, Marta, Sosvilla Rivero, Simón
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/222818
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/222818
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Zona euro
Crisis financeres
Consum (Economia)
COVID-19
Eurozone
Financial crises
Consumption (Economics)
Descripción
Sumario:Purpose: The purpose of this study is to examine the propagation of consumer and business confidence in the euro area with a particular focus on the global financial crisis (GFC), the European sovereign debt crisis (ESDC) and theCOVID-19-induced GreatLockdown. Design/methodology/approach: The authors apply Diebold and Yilmaz’s connectedness framework and the improved method based on the time-varying parameter vectorautoregressive model. Findings: The authors find that although the evolution of business confidence marked the GFC and the ESDC the role of consumer confidence (mainly in those countries with stricter containment and closure measures) increased in the COVID-19-induced crisis. Originality/value: The findings are related to the different origins of the examined crisis periods, and the analysis of their interrelationship is a very relevant topic for future research.