A blood microRNA classifier for the prediction of ICU mortality in COVID-19 patients: a multicenter validation study

The identification of critically ill COVID-19 patients at risk of fatal outcomes remains a challenge. Here, we first validated candidate microRNAs (miRNAs) as biomarkers for clinical decision-making in critically ill patients. Second, we constructed a blood miRNA classifier for the early prediction...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: de Gonzalo-Calvo, David, Molinero, Marta, Benítez, Iván D., Perez-Pons, Manel, García-Mateo, Nadia, Ortega, Alicia, Postigo, Tamara, García-Hidalgo, María C, Belmonte, Thalia, Rodríguez-Muñoz, Carlos, González, Jessica, Torres, Gerard, Gort-Paniello, Clara, Moncusí-Moix, Anna, Estella, Angel, Tamayo Lomas, Luis, Martínez de la Gándara, Amalia, Socias, Lorenzo, Peñasco, Yhivian, de la Torre, María Del Carmen, Bustamante-Munguira, Elena, Gallego Curto, Elena, Martínez Varela, Ignacio, Martin Delgado, María Cruz, Vidal-Cortes, Pablo, López Messa, Juan, Pérez-García, Felipe, Caballero, Jesús, Añón, José Manuel, Loza-Vázquez, Ana, Carbonell, Nieves, Marin-Corral, Judith, Jorge García, Ruth Noemí, Barberà, Carme, Ceccato, Adrián, Fernández-Barat, Laia, Ferrer, Ricard, Garcia-Gasulla, Dario, Lorente-Balanza, Jose Ángel, Menéndez, Rosario, Motos, Ana, Peñuelas, Oscar, Riera, Jordi, Bermejo-Martin, Jesus F., Torres, Antoni, Barbé, Ferran
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Institución:Conselleria de Salut i Consum del Govern de les Illes Balears
Repositorio:Docusalut
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docusalut.com:20.500.13003/19054
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.13003/19054
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Intensive Care Units
Prospective Studies
Biomarkers
MicroRNAs
Critical Illness
Humans
COVID-19
Retrospective Studies
Humanos
Estudios Prospectivos
Biomarcadores
Enfermedad Crítica
Estudios Retrospectivos
MicroARNs
Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos
Descripción
Sumario:The identification of critically ill COVID-19 patients at risk of fatal outcomes remains a challenge. Here, we first validated candidate microRNAs (miRNAs) as biomarkers for clinical decision-making in critically ill patients. Second, we constructed a blood miRNA classifier for the early prediction of adverse outcomes in the ICU. This was a multicenter, observational and retrospective/prospective study including 503 critically ill patients admitted to the ICU from 19 hospitals. qPCR assays were performed in plasma samples collected within the first 48 h upon admission. A 16-miRNA panel was designed based on recently published data from our group. Nine miRNAs were validated as biomarkers of all-cause in-ICU mortality in the independent cohort of critically ill patients (FDR < 0.05). Cox regression analysis revealed that low expression levels of eight miRNAs were associated with a higher risk of death (HR from 1.56 to 2.61). LASSO regression for variable selection was used to construct a miRNA classifier. A 4-blood miRNA signature composed of miR-16-5p, miR-192-5p, miR-323a-3p and miR-451a predicts the risk of all-cause in-ICU mortality (HR 2.5). Kaplan‒Meier analysis confirmed these findings. The miRNA signature provides a significant increase in the prognostic capacity of conventional scores, APACHE-II (C-index 0.71, DeLong test p-value 0.055) and SOFA (C-index 0.67, DeLong test p-value 0.001), and a risk model based on clinical predictors (C-index 0.74, DeLong test-p-value 0.035). For 28-day and 90-day mortality, the classifier also improved the prognostic value of APACHE-II, SOFA and the clinical model. The association between the classifier and mortality persisted even after multivariable adjustment. The functional analysis reported biological pathways involved in SARS-CoV infection and inflammatory, fibrotic and transcriptional pathways. A blood miRNA classifier improves the early prediction of fatal outcomes in critically ill COVID-19 patients.